Electoral College Challenge Update
With about 39 hours left to play in the electoral college challenge, we’ve got a heavy tilt toward Kerry. There are still a few (plausible) combinations remaining in a Kerry win, but not many. If you think Bush is going to win, though, there’s a lot of leeway. So get your votes in now!
The prize: a copy of Jon Stewart’s America (the Book): A Citizen’s Guide to Democracy Inaction, paid for by me, mailed to you.
The game: Predict the number of electors George Bush and John Kerry will win.
The rules:
1.) You must identify the exact total. I’m generous in a cheapskate kind of way. If no one wins, you can try to lobby me if you’re the closest. Flattery a plus, but you never know.2.) You must not be too paranoid to send me your address, otherwise I can’t send you the book.
3.) You cannot select a total already selected (which is an incentive to reserve your number today!).
How to play: Go to this handy electoral calculator and click on the states you think the candidates will win. Note the tally, listed below, and dart back here to record your entry. I’ll accept the first entry in case of duplicates. All selections valid until 8am (Eastern time) November 2.
Good Luck!
The Final Tally [Updated 9:02 am PDT, Nov 2]
Kerry Victory
370-158 (the very optimistic Thehim)
352-186 (CJ)
346-192 (Ploeg)
342-196 (Mark G.)
341-197 (Jarrett)
337-201 (Spanky)
336-202 (Alex)
331-207 (Thane, making me do the math)
330-208 (Donna)
328-201 (eRobin, betting on the Colorado split)
326-212 (Stellans)
325-213 (Fred V.)
322-216 (Russ B.)
321-217 (Folkbum)
320-218 (Sasha)
319-219 (Cat)
316-222 (D Stein)
315-223 (Flory)
313-224 (Josh, predicting a loose WV vote)
312-226 (Larry, not fooling)
312-225 (Mark, fooling with WV and ME)
311-227 (me)
309-229 (Karen)
308-230 (Alabama Yankee)
307-231 (Richard K)
306-232 (Carli)
305-233 (Deborah B.)
304-234 (Tom S.)
303-235 (Amberglow)
302 -236 (Reba)
300-238 (Dave, another Colorado splitter)
298-240 (Space)
297-241 (Rainey)
289-249 (Kenneth C.)
287-251 (Andy)
288-250 (Kevin H.)
286-252 (Barbara O.)
285-255 (Iocaste)
284-253-1 (Yami, winning on creativity)
283-255 (D. Knezek)
280-258 (Adam D.)
279-259 (Karim)
279-258-1 (Shari)
278-260 (Goat Boy)
277-261 (Henry)
274-264 (Chuck)
271-267 (Rodger, going with a squeaker)
Bush victory
311-227 (Iggi, via email)
279-259 (Jim)
278-260 (PW, hoping to be wrong)
277-261 (General Glut)
Doom
269-269 (Mark)
October 31st, 2004 at 6:40 pm
Kerry 283 Bush 235
October 31st, 2004 at 6:42 pm
341-197 for Kerry
Thanks, Jarrett
October 31st, 2004 at 7:03 pm
Kerry 285, Bush 254
October 31st, 2004 at 7:04 pm
whoops - meant Kerry 284, Bush 254
October 31st, 2004 at 7:34 pm
Kerry 342
Bush 196
October 31st, 2004 at 8:00 pm
Bush 278 - Kerry 260 and, damn it, I hope I have to eat crow!
October 31st, 2004 at 8:04 pm
Give me Kerry 288-250
October 31st, 2004 at 8:05 pm
Billmon seems to be back and we seem to be in the same mood…
October 31st, 2004 at 8:08 pm
kERRY 274, BUSH 264
October 31st, 2004 at 9:04 pm
Stassen, to kick Ike’s ass, 274-34. I mean, c’mon. The guy’s got no hair!
October 31st, 2004 at 9:51 pm
My crystal ball tells me 370 - 158, the tall guy. Although this thing may be just a giant clear marble, we’ll find out on Tuesday I guess.
October 31st, 2004 at 10:06 pm
346-192 Kerry. Maybe I’m splitting CO, maybe not. When you’re on a limb, go all the way!
October 31st, 2004 at 10:49 pm
Kerry 309, Bush 229
November 1st, 2004 at 6:39 am
Kerry 294, Bush 244
November 1st, 2004 at 7:56 am
Kerry 304, Bush 234.
November 1st, 2004 at 8:45 am
Does anyone have Kerry by 286-252 yet? If so, I’ll take it. I think it’ll be higher for Kerry, though.
November 1st, 2004 at 9:44 am
With so many predictions having Kerry over 300 electoral votes, I fear many here have left the reality-based community.
My prediction: Bush 277, Kerry 261
November 1st, 2004 at 9:53 am
Kerry 322-Bush 216
November 1st, 2004 at 10:12 am
I’ll guess 279-259 Kerry.
November 1st, 2004 at 10:32 am
Kerry 302 - Bush 236
And if I win the book, my husband will be thrilled cuz it’s one more thing off my christmas list (top of the list is a new preznit)
November 1st, 2004 at 10:54 am
Kerry, 312-225
(a loose WV vote, and Bush takes one of ME’s CDs)
November 1st, 2004 at 11:36 am
Kerry 319 - Bush 219
November 1st, 2004 at 11:56 am
346-192: I give Kerry AR, CA, CO, CT, DE, DC, FL, HI, IL, IA, LA, ME, MD, MA, MI, MN, MO, NH, NM, NY, OH, OR, PA, RI, VT, WA, WI for a total of 346 [+/- nine: I’ll cede any nine EV’s out of AK, CO, LA, HI, NM, and since I didn’t include AZ or VA, I’m very confident of the spread on the rest.]
November 1st, 2004 at 1:45 pm
Kerry 303
Bush 235
November 1st, 2004 at 1:45 pm
If no one has Kerry at 316 yet, I’ll gladly take it. (Bush at 222).
November 1st, 2004 at 3:14 pm
Kerry 312, Bush 226
November 1st, 2004 at 4:45 pm
JK 337, The Ex-pResident 201
November 1st, 2004 at 6:18 pm
Bush is the winner!
November 1st, 2004 at 6:19 pm
Bush is the winner with 279
November 1st, 2004 at 8:47 pm
Okay, since my choice is already taken, I’ll up the ante … Kerry 352; Bush 186
November 4th, 2004 at 2:11 am
Did Jim win?
November 4th, 2004 at 12:40 pm
Jim may have won. I’m still waiting to see what the tallies are in NM and Iowa. Does anyone have any official results.