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  • You are currently browsing the American Street weblog archives for November, 2007.


Streetlight Reflections: Dancing with the Meteors

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For superb summaries, this set is dedicated to Mr. Wondrous, aka Anonymoses Hyperlincoln III, aka Dave Beckwith:

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Captain Beef-Heart - I’m Gonna Booglarize You, Baby

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Moody Blues - Legend of a Mind

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Catapulting the Propaganda

[Loosely lampooning this article which has appeared on the front page of Republican’t mouthpiece the Washington Post:

ON THE REPUBLICAN’T FRONT
Foes Use Lott’s Gay Hooker Ties to Fuel Rumors About Him

By funnyfarmer - blogger incredulous that this was approved and allowed to be published on the front page of the newspaper right after the Giuliani scandal came out - almost as if they had to distract the public from the important news of the day!

Friday, November 30, 2007

In his speeches and often on the Internet, the part of Sen. Trent Lott’s biography that gets the most attention is not his continuing racist remarks, but his connections to the gay hooker world.

Since abruptly resigning his position as a US Senator five years before his term ends, Trent, a member of a sanctimonious group of holier-than-thou Republican’ts, has had to address assertions that he is gay or that he had purchased the services of a gay hooker while condemning gays in general and the gay lifestyle in particular. While he publicly proclaims to practice a form of christian religion, Trent’s itinerary did occasionally coincide with known male sex workers during his time as a representative of american taxpayers.

Despite his denials, rumors and e-mails circulating on the Internet continue to allege that Trent (R-MS) is gay, a closeted denier and persecutor of his fellow homosexuals, and that, if he continued to serve in the US Senate, his sexual preferences would be exposed, when the results of investigations in the matter become public.

In Senate appearances, Trent regularly condemns the ‘deviant behavior’ involved with same-sex relationships, and promotes legislation that would criminalize sexual activity between members of the same sex. Trent invokes these opinions as part of his case that he is a gawdly christian, and that he would literally bring hellfire and damnation on earth to the gawdless sodomites in america.

Trent was born and spent his childhood in Mississippi, and he talks more about his southern roots than he does about the possibility of being the latest Republican’t Senator to be publicly outed as a hypocrite in his private life.

Read the rest of this entry »

Down to the wire

Not a nudge in the past two days and the biggest bill’s due tomorrow. Please toss in a twenty or ten or a five, but only if you haven’t helped out already.

The wolf really is at the door and with 22,000 visitors this month, it hasn’t been enough to get over the hump after a month of blegging. When I’m back on my feet, I’m the sort who’ll pay it forward to others in need, so I hope you’ll lend a hand and finish my fundraising for another year.


Mr. Hyde Is Dead at 83; Dr. Jekyll Says, “Free at Last!”


“No, no, George, I did not turn Lott’s wife into a pillar
of salt. I turned her into Dickie Scrugg’s sister-in-law.”

Hostage situation at Clinton HQ in Rochester, New Hampshire

Two campaign workers are being held hostage by a 40-something man with a self-proclaimed bomb strapped to his chest, and is demanding to speak with Hillary, who’s in Virginia. Developing…

Turn on CNN or go to that link and get local live video.

John Murtha adds teeth to his original comments

Good. A clarification.

When Congressman Murtha said the surge has improved things, particularly in Anbar province, the press immediately spun it as an endorsement of all the strategies employed by the White House in the past year, even though his original comments also criticized the Iraq government. The press also indicated his words posed problems for Democrats.

As a Democrat, the only problem I had was with the press spin, not with Murtha’s quoted comments. With his clarification, there can be no doubt what his intents were: they echo what two GOP Congressmen said earlier this week:

The surge, he said in a statement, “has created a window of opportunity for the Iraqi government,’’ but so far the Iraqi government has “failed to capitalize on the political and diplomatic steps that the surge was designed to provide.”

“The fact remains that the war in Iraq cannot be won militarily, and that we must begin an orderly redeployment of U.S. forces from Iraq as soon as practicable,” said the chair of the House Appropriations Committee’s Defense Subcommittee.

If the press operated impartially, they would have been skipping the ‘gotcha’ spin and asked some proper followup questions. Such as:

Do you attribute the decline in violence to the strategy of Sunnis and US forces uniting against other outsiders, or has the ceasefire of 8/29 by Moqtada al-Sadr been part of that violence reduction?

But we’ve learned the corporate press remains more interested in creating controversy than ferreting out a clear picture of what’s happening in Iraq.

I sure miss journalism.

Great News in the Equal Rights Movement

Steve Benen provides the details. Don’t Ask Don’t Tell may finally go the way of the Ford Pinto if the politicians listen to the retired brass. Both have damaged too many lives, but I’ll hold my applause till I see the discrimination ended.

Sudan: let the innocent teacher go

The Sudanese court had one way to proceed: let Gillian Gibbons go free, but then deport her. The deportation could have quelled extremist demands that the teacher be executed for agreeing to let her students pick a name.

Now they’ve got a far more serious problem to handle. Thousands of armed protestors could put Gibbon’s life in danger. If she’s hurt, it will cause further religious animosity all over the world.

In fact, it was several extremist clerics that incited the mob actions that are occurring. That’s the real threat to their national security, not a misnamed teddy bear.

But the Sudanese government seems to relish the role of promoting extremism and violence towards anyone who’s a symbol of the West. One only needs to consider the Darfur genocide to see how corrupt and violent the Sudanese government really is.

With a median age of a very young 18.9 years, an average life expectancy of 49.11 years, a literacy rate of 61.1%, and 40% of the country living in poverty, it’s a population easily manipulated by ideologues. But singling out an innocent teacher like this invites hostile actions from civilized nations all over the globe.

If they’re halfway smart, they’ll get Miss Gibbons home safely within the next 24 hours. There are governments that deserve to be overthrown because of their ongoing atrocities. Sudan has been among the top 2 or 3 deserving of that for several years.

I think the president, Umar Hassan Ahmad al-Bashir should get a delivery of a boatload of teddy bears, each one named Umar Hassan Ahmad al-Rectum in his honor.

I’m sorry if this runs counter to my preference for non-war solutions, but this is simply the latest outrage from a government that long ago failed to block a genocide. In all of Africa, it’s the only government that deserves outright ouster for the war criminals it contains.

Rudy’s statistics are meaningless, almost

Though it’s clear that Rudy lies with statistics,, they’re a bit like Reagan’s welfare queen anecdotes. Most people don’t believe them, but they do sway a few.

His deliberate fudging of the facts should, of course, be exposed. But politics watchers and activists occasionally overlook the visceral impact of candidates on viewers. Most voters think most politicians take liberties with the truth and they accept some of it as part of the game. But when politicians are talking, do they sound defensive, look nervous, carry off a real air of comfortable authority, or do they sound clumsy, or look like they’re forcing that smile?

Reagan got away with it by expressing cheer mostly and determination during serious moments. Rudy’s been attempting to mic a similar calm and cheerful reassurance on camera. But as he comes increasingly under fire, it’ll be important to see if he starts sounding defensive or outright phony.

It would be nice if more voters stopped granting politicians the ‘everybody-lies’ defense. Every elected official doesn’t. And none should.

But at the moment, voters do judge from their gut as well as their head. Those impressions propelled Rudy to top GOP contender for awhile. But lately, that facade is cracking.

Biden drops the ‘I’ bomb

From SeacoastOnline:

Biden spoke in front of a crowd of approximately 100 at a Seacoast Media Group forum Thursday, which focused on the Iraq War and foreign policy. When an audience member expressed fear of another war with Iran, he said he does not typically engage in threats, but had no qualms about issuing a direct warning to the oval office.

“The President has no authority to unilaterally attack Iran and if he does, as foreign relations committee chairman, I will move to impeach,” said Biden, which was followed by a raucous applause.

Biden said he is in the process of meeting with constitutional law experts to prepare a legal memorandum saying as much, and intends to send it to the President.

When resident Joel Carp asked Biden why not impeach now given what has already been done, Biden said it was a valid point but might not be constitutionally valid and potentially counterproductive. A case for impeachment must have clear evidence, he said, and blame should be directed at the right parties.

“If you’re going to impeach George Bush, you better impeach Cheney first,” said Biden, which also received applause.

Biden said the best deterrent to prevent preemptive military action in Iran is to make it clear, even if it is at the end of his final term, action will be taken against Bush to ensure “his legacy will be marred for all time.”

When Hillary’s feeling squeezed, she trots out her husband. Candidates going nowhere have to resort to bold statements to get any press at all. So Biden sounds like Kucinich at the moment, but will the moment end when his primary run does?

Winning the War on Terror?

The latest Rasmussen poll indicates more men think so, even though the women remain very skeptical. Neither gives Bush any credit for the slightly more optimistic male assessment, as he lost a point in the process.

But really, how does any voter really judge these things? AS near as I can tell, it’s either by the lack of attacks on US soil, or by mixing u the minor successes in Iraq with the ambiguous ‘War on Terror’. In fact, by asking about both in this poll, Rasmussen continues that Bush deception alive.

Are there more or less global terrorists than a year ago? Are the number of attacks globally increasing or decreasing?

Rasmussen should be asking why they think terrorism is up or down. I suspect it’s because the media’s just burying terror stories while increasing campaign coverage. Rasmussen’s data is meaningless until we know how respondents are measuring success or failure.

Rudy Giuliani: Man of Mystery

Josh Marshall covers Rudy’s latest dodge as he tries to explain his way past the use of random city accounts to fund his shagadelic love-ins. Perhaps the claim that there’s security reasons to cover up this fund-dipping means Rudy was afraid his rejected wife would go all Lorena Bobbitt on him. Or was he hiding his sausage slushfunds from mooks like his pal Bernie Kerik, who’d demand a piece of the action? And if so, did he really make his security detail wear paisley?

Inquiring minds want to know. I just pray there’s no Paris Hilton-like videos forthcoming that he billed to the fire department’s widows and orphans pension accounts.

That question’s no fair! It’s too hard!

Consider Redstate’s title: CNN’s Performance Was Unacceptable. There Should Be A Do Over of This Debate. I thought mulligans were the province of bad golfers and overly spoiled children, not people vying for the world’s biggest bully pulpit.

John Edwards visits Olbermann and takes his light sabre to the Republiweenies who can’t take a question without crying like three year olds.

Really, I’m amazed that instead of the usual lies, propaganda and insults, the rightists now resort to holding their breath till they turn blue. If anything could embolden a terrorist, I imagine this latest round of diaper wetting could.

We know what you’re thinking

And you have been designated a threat to the state apparatus. You do not have the right to remain silent. You do not have the right to request an attorney. What you say after we force you to talk will be held against you. should you choose not to talk, that will also convict you. You do not have a right to a phone call or any other means of thought conveyance. Your thoughts have already proven your traitorous intents. You no longer exist.

When will the fresh daily thefts of our Constitutional rights be themselves prosecutable crimes?

Breaking News

Image shamelessly appropriated from the good folks at Sadly, No!, and in no way should be considered to imply that Rachael Neuworth is a flaming douchebag

Okay, so maybe it’s not as juicy as the Shag Fund scandal*. But former fellow Open Source Politics blogger Richard Silverstein has just successfully defended himself from a libel lawsuit brought against him by Rachael Neuwirth for content on his blog**:

Tonight is not a good night for Rachel Neuwirth. Like Casey at the bat, she took a mighty swing & like Casey she struck out.

She sued me for libel in Los Angeles Superior Court because I called her a “Kahanist swine.” Her claim was that this was the same as claiming she was a Jewish terrorist since Kahane Chai, Meir Kahane’s Israeli political party, is designated by the U.S. Treasury Department as a terrorist organization.

Her attorney, Charles Fonarow, told my attorneys that her case was a “slam dunk.” Seems Los Angeles Superior Court Judge John Reid had a different idea. It’s also important to note that Judge Reid is no activist liberal judge. He teaches law at Pepperdine University law school where Kenneth Starr is the dean. He’s a law and order conservative and he understood the principles of free blog speech that were involved in this case. He understood that calling someone a Kahanist swine, while not perhaps the most refined turn of phrase in the world, is permitted in the context of public discourse on an issue of great civic importance.

We won the case with an anti-SLAPP (Strategic Litigation Against Public Participation) motion under which the defendant must prove that his speech was made in a public arena and furthered a public good and that the plaintiff was a public figure. Rachel’s key defense was that she is a private figure (she argued that she was merely a real estate agent) and the my blog was a private forum (because I “controlled” it), all of which are patently false since she herself calls herself an “internationally respected journalist” in her online bio. That my blog is a public forum is also patently obvious as 250,000 unique visitors each year indicate. And I no more ‘control’ the 6,000 comments published on my blog than I control the entire web.

[snip]

There’s much more at the various links as well as a lot of other stuff within comments and/or at other sites (which the Funny Farm strongly advises you avoid unless you have a strong stomach and a thick hide), and of course I’m not very well versed on the minutiae of the whole story. So you’ll have to decide for yourself.

I heartily applaud Mr. Silverstein for winning the first round*** here, fighting the good fight, and leading by example.

* - Groovy, baby!

** - I’m not exactly sure what the whole kerfluffle is about; apparently there are some radical blog sites out there that Richard has been outing to their web hosts, and Neuwirth thought a SLAPP suit would cause Richard to back down from those activities. I’m also sure that I have no interest in wading into the bloggy cesspools that he has slogged through to gather such special attention from people like Ms Neuwirth.

*** - cause you know they’re going to appeal…


“OK, Mitt, here’s my final offer: you can have the
nomination if I can have your hair.”


Camp Delta, Guantanamo: Where They Keep
Mitt Romney’s Soul When He Isn’t Using It

Another campaign video

From the forgotten candidate:

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This is dedicated to Cesar Chavez, Malcolm X, Betty Friedan, Abbie Hoffman, Ella Baker, Daniel Ellsberg, Dorothy Day, Dolores Huerta, the Berrigan Brothers, James Lewis, Ryan White, Saul Alinsky, RFK and Fred Ross.

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(h/t to Norm Jenson for the video)

Illegal Wiretaps: court orders government officials to reveal telecom contacts

Via Glenn Greenwald at Salon:

The Electronic Frontier Foundation has won another significant legal battle, as a federal judge in California yesterday ordered the Bush administration (.pdf) to comply with EFF’s FOIA demand and disclose documents revealing its “communications with telecommunications carriers and members of Congress” regarding efforts to amend FISA and provide amnesty to telecoms. Better still, the court imposed an extremely quick deadline for release of these documents — December 10 — so that “the public may participate in the debate over the pending legislation on an informed basis.”

Needless to say, the Bush administration raised every argument it could to avoid having to disclose this information. These disclosures will reveal — among other things — which telecom lobbyists and other representatives were meeting with DNI Michael McConnell in order to secure telecom amnesty, as well as which members of Congress McConnell and other Bush officials privately lobbied. As an argument of last resort, the administration even proposed disclosing these documents on December 31 so that — as EFF pointed out — the information would be available only after Congress passed the new FISA bill. The court rejected every administration claim as to why it should not have to disclose these records.

This is a huge win for the EFF, and for Americans in general. But we can’t take it for granted because Congress will be recessing for the holidays within 10 days of those materials reaching the public. Debate on the FISA bill will likely be concluded sooner than that recess date. So it’s imperative that we all stand ready to lobby our representatives, especially those on the Intelligence and Judiciary Committees, as that fresh data becomes known.

This morning, I called several of the Senators who have thus far been most instrumental in helping the telecom industry keep amnesty in the FISA bill: Senators Rockefeller, Feinstein and Whitehouse. The latter two Senators voted against stripping amnesty out of the FISA bill in both the Intelligence Committee and the Judiciary Committee (although both of them seem now to be attempting to work on a “Specter compromise” whereby telecoms would still be granted amnesty but the federal government would take their place as defendants). By e-mail, I also contacted the office of Sen. Reid, whose actions over the next couple of weeks will be crucial, perhaps dispositive, in determining the outcome of the efforts to keep amnesty out of the Senate bill.

He intends to post responses as he receives them.

Ugh

It’s pretty bad when leading right wing editorialists start eating their own for acting like iggerant yayhoos.

A Righteous Howdy

To T Rex at his new home.

The King lives.

Streetlight Reflections: Towards a healthy bias

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With this post by him, I dedicate this set to Earl Dunovant:

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Plus, bend your ear to Heritage which couldn’t be embedded.

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The Republican spat

Update: Here’s the transcript. the post follows below.

Well, the neo bad boys met in debate last night, testing out the YouTubes and each other. It was awfully moving. They were implying lots of things about each other, occasionally got as bitchy as a pack of hungover drag queens waiting for the Mr. Coffee to drip faster, but nobody clawed and kicked or bit the head off an actual gerbil.

I spared myself the horror of it all, but due to the magic of modern cable modems and my capacities for absorbing mass quantities of hypertextual light transmissions, I’m certain i can microanalyze it all with my uncanny Joe-Klein-like interpretive intuitionment. Right at the outset, I have divined that John McCain lost.

McCain, already so old that most of the country thinks he should retire to the Thurmondesque tranquility of Senate senility, made the mistake, after all, of displaying an emotion beyond anger, disgust or crankiness. Like Edmund Muskie before him, this assures his place as an elder statesman but completely harshes his shot at the Big Laz-e-boy with the magic fingers.

mitt Romney, on the other hand, mindful of his Dad’s political demise after saying he’d been brainwashed, was determined to demonstrate that he wouldn’t crack under the pressure wash of a waterboard.

Mr. McCain and Mr. Romney got into a heated dispute on the subject of torture, with Mr. McCain saying Mr. Romney’s failure to condemn waterboarding reflected a fundamental misunderstanding of American principles.

“How in the world anybody could think that that kind of thing could be inflicted by Americans on people who are held in our custody is absolutely beyond me,” Mr. McCain said.

Mr. Romney did not back down, however, and said he was glad the military detention facility at Guantánamo Bay, Cuba, was still open. “I want to make sure these people are kept at Guantánamo,” he said, and “not be given legal representation in this country.”

Mr. Romney said he opposed torture but would not detail the interrogation techniques he found acceptable.

Mr. McCain, growing obviously emotional, said, “Then you would have to advocate that we withdraw from the Geneva Conventions.”

After which, Romney ordered all the lawyers and judges arrested, to emphasize his earnestness at being mean to people who look like they might be terrorists.

Rudy an Mitt faced off to declare that each was too kind to immigrants. Rudy, it seems, permitted them to live and work in New York City. And Mitt employed some in his executive mansion, permitting them the luxury of washing his invisible underwear while suckling his sons at their ample but less than Caucasian teats. Demonstrating he’d tolerate immigrants only if they were properly humiliated, Mitt won that face-off, too.

Surprisingly, they even touched the third rail of the Wingnut Underground Express as Rudy was forced on the defensive about his past support of gun control. That gave Fred Thompson the motivation to demonstrate his noose building prowess, after which he hung himself:

Mr. Giuliani, who has led in national polls, found himself and his record in New York — including his past support for gun control — under scrutiny.

And many candidates had high points: Mr. Giuliani with his line about Mr. Romney’s mansion; Fred D. Thompson, the former senator from Tennessee, giving a spirited defense of gun control; Mr. Huckabee, when asked how Jesus would feel about the death penalty, responded, “Jesus was too smart to ever run for public office”; and Senator John McCain of Arizona, in highly emotional terms, condemned torture.

As you can see by that, only Mike came prepared to take on the stern mindmeld capabilities of the Big Digmeister. Jesus was indeed too smart to have ever run for public office, unlike the seven who showed up last night to demonstrate their smartlessness.

Unfortunately, Huckabee ultimately revealed his extremist liberalism by showing compassion for the children of illegal immigrants. I mean, he provided them college tuition, so they’d attend institutions where they could be subject to the silly notions of global evolution and stemcell warming. And Big Dig pounced:

“Mike, that’s not your money,” he said. “That’s the taxpayers’ money. And the right thing here is to say to people that are here legally as citizens or legal aliens, we’re going to help you. But if you’re here illegally, you ought to be able to return home or get in line with everybody else, but illegals are not going to get taxpayer-funded breaks that are better than our own citizens.”

Mr. Huckabee responded: “In all due respect, we’re a better country than to punish children for what their parents did. We’re a better country than that.”

“I worked my way through college,” Mr. Huckabee added. “I started work when I was 14, and I had to pay my own way through, and I know how hard it was to get that degree. I’m standing here tonight on this stage because I got an education. If I hadn’t had the education, I wouldn’t be standing on this stage. I might be picking lettuce. I might be a person who needed government support rather than who was giving so much money in taxes I want to get rid of the tax code that we’ve got and make it really different.”

Phew, that was close. Diverting the topic to tax elimination is always a surefire way to please a Republican crowd.

The Big Dig said he’d outlaw abortion. The Huckleberry said he’d outlaw the IRS. A couple of nobodies said they’d do other stuff. And then Ron Paul confessed he’d raised more money than he’d ever believed was possible and he found the thought of spending it all kinda daunting.

And then came the retired Brigadier General who described his stellar service. He had the crowd eating out of his hand. Till he said he was gay, at which point, the sound of 500 simultaneously clenched assholes rippled across the room. As it turned out, he was a mole from the Kerry/Clinton/GayModerator terror cell, so they booed him lustily while pelting him with stones before cutting off his penis and stuffing it down his throat in the name of National Security against Gilbert and Sullivan show tunes and nonspecific homo cooties.

All the candidates responded by saying “Ewwwwwwwww”. After which all the assholes unclenched, which caused a rise in natural gas futures.

Sampling elsewhere to see what others thought:

Michelle Malkin’s trooplets discovered that every question was actually planted by Democrats and therefore, not real.

And really, you should read these links. I mean, trust my judgment but enjoy the power of lesser lights as well.

Captain Ed liked Huckabee and Big Dig best.

Bill Scher thought they all lost except McCain.

Howie Klein was digging the audience.

BooMan just came away feeling queasy and unbalanced. Just as I would have, if I hadn’t chosen the more fun alternative of the industrial strength scrotum clamps, which is why I’m typing this in a high falsetto.

It’s pretty rare when TBogg quotes The Weekly Standard and they’re deadlier than TBogg.

And Scott Ott is likely disheartened that the most important question never got asked.

Finally, at Pollster.com, we get some actual voter sentiments:

InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion released two new statewide surveys (conducted 11/28) of 1,035 registered Republicans in Iowa and 341 undecided Republicans in Florida who said they watched tonight’s debate and were willing to call in after the debate to answer questions.

* Among Republicans in Iowa, 32% believe former Gov. Mike Huckabee won tonight’s Republican debate; former Gov. Mitt Romney gets 16%, former Mayor Rudy Giuliani 12%, Sen. John McCain 10%, former Sen. Fred Thompson 7%, Rep. Ron Paul 6%.

* Among Republicans in Florida, 44% believe Huckabee won the debate; Giuliani gets 18%, Romney 13%, McCain 10%, Thompson 5%.

* All other candidates receive less than five percent each.

So there you have it: Huckleberry won huge, while Big Dig and L’Affaire de Rudy split a distant second in the two states polled.

And where did Iraq go in this debate, besides gay? Healthcare? Housing crisis? Gas prices? Trade policies? Nope, real people hopes and worries were not in evidence. I blame it on poor Mexicans, Bill & Hillary’s tingly parts and the letter, bloody ‘L’.

$167 closer; pushing on to the goal

In the past two days, you readers have pushed me ever closer to my goal. Thank you so much.

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fund112707.jpg

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If you can afford to toss in a $20, or anything at all, now’s the time to do so. I’m just shy of the rent I need by Friday, and if I can get the balance of the goal by this weekend, I’ll be free and clear through December. Please use the PayPal donation button in the right sidebar if you can help.

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Terrorist cells implanting cookies

Sister Nancy Beth Eczema has uncovered the most nefarious terrorist infiltration scheme yet devised. Praise Her.

When you’re running around on your wife

You usually have to answer to your conscience, your kids, your wife and maybe her attorney. If your faith requires, you may have to answer to a cleric or a God. It’s an entirely separate matter when you insist on being accompanied by a security detail, you’re billing taxpayers for that, and the bills are quietly being paid out of several separate accounts, which lends an appearance of a coverup.

While some are welcome to make judgments about a politician’s personal life, I always am most interested in their public performance. If they’ve performed well as an employee, I’ll overlook personal behavior as long as it’s clearly not some felonious behavior. If their public performance has been poor or marginal, I might take the personal behavior into account and vote against such a public servant. Substandard performance plus substandard character issues is not an appealing combination.

But it’s a completely different matter when your personal life is also weighing on the public wallet. If I had an employee who used petty cash to grab a taxi home for a kid’s birthday party, I might consider that worth a verbal warning, but be generally understanding and unworried about the offense. Requiring a security detail to be paid, fed, transported and sheltered overnight isn’t petty cash. Doing that and doing it repeatedly is not acceptable, even if the employee is unmarried and pursuing a healthy, aboveboard loving relationship that hurts no one. Keeping such expenditures hidden is not a matter of security. It’s a matter of deceit.

Misuse of public funds, plus receipt, plus repetition are serious matters deserving disciplinary action and sometimes prosecution. Taxpayers don’t agree that security personnel are hired to perform in such circumstances. And the appearance of a coverup makes it even more serious.

The public has every right to insist upon a full investigation and pass judgment on the defective performance if such transgressions have occurred.

Rudy Giuliani believes he has the qualifications to serve as the most powerful public employee in the world. But if he misused funds and personnel, as it appears he may have, I think it disqualifies him from any higher office. And, should an investigation reveal he did those things, I trust most of America will prevent his election as President. not because he fell in love with another woman, but because he violated rules of conduct we have every right to expect him to adhere to. Those accounts are paid by taxpayers and the personnel involved have a specific limited service to perform.

If Rudy crossed those lines, he can kiss his presidential aspirations goodbye and live with the consequences of his bad decisions.


Priscilla Painton, a Deputy Managing Editor at Time,
is responsible for giving the imprimatur to Joe Klein’s
falsifications. Her boss is Richard Stengel, whose
specialty is the ‘inculpable noncorrection’.

The President committed federal crimes

But the judges are giving him a pass so far, which Republicans applaud and a handful of Democratic leaders are relieved about.

On that latter point, America should hear this message loud and clear: don’t give up on the elected Democrats. It’s only a handful of the party’s leaders that are blocking the path to justice. If you want, go ahead and replace Nancy Pelosi, Steny Hoyer and Rahm Emmanuel. Once you clear those three out, you’ll see the real difference most Democrats stand for.

Reporters at the front: the only safe place in Iraq is in the February 2003 zone

Reuters:

WASHINGTON, Nov 28 (Reuters) - Nearly 90 percent of U.S. journalists in Iraq say much of Baghdad is still too dangerous to visit, despite a recent drop in violence attributed to the build-up of U.S. forces, a poll released on Wednesday said.

The survey by the Washington-based Pew Research Center showed that many U.S. journalists believe coverage has painted too rosy a picture of the conflict.

A separate Pew poll released on Tuesday showed that 48 percent of Americans believe the U.S. military effort in Iraq is going very or fairly well, up from 34 percent in June, amid signs of declining Iraqi civilian casualties and progress against Islamist militants such as al Qaeda in Iraq.

But most journalists said they believe violence and the threat of violence have increased during their tenures.

(H/t to Juan Cole)

And where are the trouble spots?

But 87 percent of respondents said at least half of Baghdad remains too dangerous for a Western journalist to visit, with the capital’s Shi’ite-dominated Sadr City enclave rated the most dangerous spot in Iraq. Eighteen percent said the entire city of Baghdad is too dangerous for travel.

Most U.S. journalists have traveled to danger spots such as Sadr City, either under the protection of private security guards or the U.S. military.

“Eight in 10 journalists believe conditions have deteriorated for reporters since their own first posting in the country,” the survey’s authors said.

Under-reported subjects of the war include the plight of Iraqi civilians, Shi’ite-on-Shi’ite violence in southern Iraq and general events occurring outside Baghdad, journalists said.

So basically, south of Baghdad, outside of Baghdad and parts of Baghdad remain very dangerous. They never seem to mention the Kurdish north section, where skirmishes rage across the Turkish border and otherwise you’re okay unless you happen to be female.

It’s so kewl the surge is working so well for George Bush because the network news can focus on more important stuff like the sex lives of Democrats and the religious piety of Mitt Huckleberry.

I’ve Got A Secret!

Photo Sharing and Video Hosting at Photobucket Read the rest of this entry »

How’s that inspiring city rebuilding coming, Mr. Precedent?

According to Scout Prime, at this rate, it might be done in 2010. Saddam Hussein could rebuild a country in two years. G. Dubya couldn’t get a liferaft built in a decade if he was handed a rowboat to cross a puddle.


“Some people believe I’m Rick Stengel, Time’s Managing
Editor, but some people don’t. As a paragon of journalistic
objectivity, that’s all I can say.”

Another Bush fox raids the henhouse he’s ‘guarding’

Via John Wilke of the WSJ:

WASHINGTON — The head of the federal agency investigating Karl Rove’s White House political operation is facing allegations that he improperly deleted computer files during another probe, using a private computer-help company, Geeks on Call.

Scott Bloch runs the Office of Special Counsel, an agency charged with protecting government whistleblowers and enforcing a ban on federal employees engaging in partisan political activity. Mr. Bloch’s agency is looking into whether Mr. Rove and other White House officials used government agencies to help re-elect Republicans in 2006.

At the same time, Mr. Bloch has himself been under investigation since 2005. At the direction of the White House, the federal Office of Personnel Management’s inspector general is looking into claims that Mr. Bloch improperly retaliated against employees and dismissed whistleblower cases without adequate examination.
[Scott Bloch]

Recently, investigators learned that Mr. Bloch erased all the files on his office personal computer late last year. They are now trying to determine whether the deletions were improper or part of a cover-up, lawyers close to the case said.

Bypassing his agency’s computer technicians, Mr. Bloch phoned 1-800-905-GEEKS for Geeks on Call, the mobile PC-help service. It dispatched a technician in one of its signature PT Cruiser wagons. In an interview, the 49-year-old former labor-law litigator from Lawrence, Kan., confirmed that he contacted Geeks on Call but said he was trying to eradicate a virus that had seized control of his computer.

Mr. Bloch said no documents relevant to any investigation were affected. He also says the employee claims against him are unwarranted. Mr. Bloch believes the White House may have a conflict of interest in pressing the inquiry into his conduct while his office investigates the White House political operation. Concerned about possible damage to his reputation, he cites a Washington saying, “You’re innocent until investigated.”

Sure, we’ve seen enough White House betrayal of critical staff before, so Bloch’s suggestion that he’s been targeted has a ring of truth to it. Except he hasn’t been critical of anyone but a GSA administrator. And he “was a loyal member of the Bush administration, serving in the Justice Department’s office of faith-based programs, when the president named him to head the Office of Special Counsel in 2003.”

More importantly, the level of hard drive cleaning looks awfully suspicious.

Geeks on Call visited Mr. Bloch’s government office in a nondescript office building on M Street in Washington twice, on Dec. 18 and Dec. 21, 2006, according to a receipt reviewed by The Wall Street Journal. The total charge was $1,149, paid with an agency credit card, the receipt shows. The receipt says a seven-level wipe was performed but doesn’t mention any computer virus.

Jeff Phelps, who runs Washington’s Geeks on Call franchise, declined to talk about specific clients, but said calls placed directly by government officials are unusual. He also said erasing a drive is an unusual virus treatment. “We don’t do a seven-level wipe for a virus,” he said.

And this is the guy tasked with investigating Karl Rove and tens of thousands of missing White House emails.

It looks like it’s going to take the industrial strength Charmin to do the multilevel wipe that gets these crooks and assholes back to the cesspool where their real faith was based.


Would you buy a used car from somebody who looks
like Joe Klein? Beg pardon, but was that a ‘No’ or a
‘Hell No!’?

A Hat tip to Chris, Matt and Larry

There’s a very positive article in In These Times by Adam Doster today, displaying how successfully Chris Bowers, Matt Stoller, Larry Handlin and others have been in going after Bush Dogs (aka, DINOs) in the current cycle. Not only is it paying off with more progressive candidates, but their success in doing so provides added persuasion for the other Bush Dogs to reconsider their conservative positions.

As I’ve observed citizen journalism since 2000, I’ve observed op-ed pundits, snarkmeisters, gifted prose authors and social or cultural whizzes arise in the blogosphere. I’ve seen some rising political activists appear, from Joe Trippi to Peter Daou to Kos. Yet among the activists, Chris and Matt keep doing more than bitching and cajoling. They keep applying innovative tactics that keep funds flowing, support growing and campaigns winning that few thought possible.

It sure would be nice if the National Party currently dominated by old Beltway insiders could be supplanted by successful vision engineers like these.

Pakistan’s gulag: official terror is not superior

Perv the Mushy and his shock troops fell back into the pattern of the weak that Bush has championed. When people are swept up indiscriminately and granted no due process, far more officially sanctioned terror occurs than any terror that’s prevented.

That’s a historical reality that’s been demonstrated repeatedly around the globe. We learned it after the internment of Japanese Americans. It’s been evident after hundreds have been released in the past six years after they were held for years without evidence of guilt.

There is not and never will be a world guaranteed to be free of dangerous ideologues and psychos. Choosing to resort to state-sponsored lawlessness only accomplishes injustice. It’s understandable for folks to overract in the immediate wake of a crisis. But standard legal practice would resolve unnecessary detentions within 90 days.

The practices employed by Bush and Mushy and other national leaders continue to lower all of humanity to a standard any rogue or terrorist could meet. And that’s not how terror is defeated. It’s only how terror is emulated, multiplied and justified. It’s a form of surrender devoid of any positive trade-offs.

Socialized Politikal Quacking

If Obama’s health insurance plan, or Edwards’ or Hillary’s sound somewhat familiar, it may be because they’re pretty close to the one proposed 33 years ago by that dastardly socialist, Dick Nixon.

An even leftier version sponsored by Ted Kennedy was on its way to passage, but ultimately got killed by those reactionary organizations: labor unions.

Not only does that article remind us where the center used to be - way leftward from today - but it also points to part of the problem that made Big Labor such an easy target for union-busters. They were sufficiently blind to their internal weaknesses that they’d work against a progressive, insisting they had to be more progressive.

Between that and OPEC, the stage was set six years later for the Reagan lurch to the right.

GOP passes No-Evil-Left Behind Act

JurrassicPork provides all the hoary details.

Bending the Silverware

Uri Geller, the model of integrity, has an evil twin named Urine. And boy, is she pissy.

Bush has lost his mind and his moral compass. This statement is an outrage. A lie and a blood libel. Israel has never committed any acts of terrorism. What a tool of Islamic jihad. Based on that, Bush is a terrorist, anyone that defends himself, his family, his country is a terrorist.
This is a sad sad day.

BDS is one of those social diseases that occurs from frequenting reality. Now that Urine Geller is testing positive for BDS without ever approaching reality, we can only wonder whether this is simply proof that Bush has fallen off the wagon, the delirium tremors are gone and he’s getting back in touch with normal again.

Nah.

Urine just made a lucky guess. Next week, she’ll be blowing his pet goat again.

Shizzle, Nein!

This is dedicated to The Hon. Dr. St. Rev. Bradley S. Rocket, Esq, PhD, MD, over at Sadly, No!

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So Much Wrong In So Few Words

Where to start in on this gem of Republican’t spin?

[Emphasis of all kinds and / or (off color commentary) courtesy of the Funny Farm Editorial Staff]

It’s Time for Tax Cuts [Larry Kudlow] (yes, that Larry Kudlow)

The Wall Street Journal’s Gerald Seib has an excellent column this morning on the impending depression threat of an economic downturn and the relevance (cough) of tax cuts to reignite the economy. (And I note the insidious way that Republican’ts use tax cuts as a universal panacea) He notes that Republicans have an important opportunity to push tax cuts as a spur to the slumping economy, whereas Democrats are still stuck with a tired tax-hike message and an obsessive desire to undo the Bush tax cuts. (And I note the way that Kudlow takes the Democratic position of enforcing the sunset of the pRetzelDunce’s tax giveaways to the rich - which was the only way that they were allowed to be enacted - and turns it into an obsessive desire to undo the Bush tax cuts. And the loaded terms used to describe any long overdue tax revisions as tired tax-hike messages. But this one note symphony has rung hollow to my ears ever since the Ray-Gun experiment that tripled the national debt - after his handlers belatedly started raising taxes at the end of his second term - took place.)

Seib does not go into the incentive effects of lower marginal tax rates versus the one-shot demand-side effects of temporary tax cuts. (And Kudlow completely ignores the clusterCheney going on as the result of years of tax giveaways to the corporate welfare queens that renders any fantastical discussions about more tax giveaways to the rich moot)

Former Clinton Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers* (along with an increasing wave of concerned economic gurus) is now predicting a 2008 recession. But he’s calling for temporary tax cuts for low and middle-class families. Unfortunately, history clearly shows this approach will not work. (Unfortunately, Kudlow does not show us why he believes that history clearly shows this approach will not work - which I, unfortunately, think that history clearly shows will work - nor does he explain why his belief is more realistic than anyone else’s)

Many years ago, the late Milton Friedman wrote about the permanent-income hypothesis. The basic idea is that temporary additions to income (from tax cuts) won’t be spent, they will be saved. On the other hand, permanent reductions to personal tax rates will be spent, will be saved, and will be invested. (said hypothesis going out the window when any additions to income are spent treading water financially and trying to ease the increasing pressure involved with stagnant wages and rising costs)

Moreover, Nobel Prize–winning economist Ed Prescott has successfully argued that economic behavior is highly responsive to changing tax rates. (Funny - I only see refernces to Kudlow claiming that this is what Prescott is successfully arguing) So there’s a big difference between the Republican approach and the Democratic approach. (So there’s a big hole in Kudlow’s argument right here)

Democrats also will try and make the case that taxes should be cut for the so-called middle class, and raised on upper-income earners. (As do many who do not agree with the regressive nature of the current junta’s tax giveaways to the rich) This is futile. (I’m not sure that I agree with this statement. It’s too bad Kudlow doesn’t feel obligated to explain the futility of this strategy) It’s also bad politics for rich Republican’ts. Taxing successful earners is a tax on capital and investment (as opposed to taxing less successful earners more on the lesser income they have to subsist on), which has recently become scarce during the american economic meltdown caused by the Republican’t tax giveaways to the rich housing crisis.

Republicans should take care to give the lesser mortals a bit of largesse propose lower tax rates on middle-income earners, as well as more tax giveaways to the rich successful investors. The real cheese supply-side “bang for the buck” comes at the top-end (and the rich Republican’ts), but across-the-board rate reductions (in times of prosperity) do have positive economic and political benefits. Collapsing the middle-income brackets — 15 percent, 25 percent, and 28 percent — would make a lot of sense. (Perhaps if Kudlow had left us a clue as to where they would be collapsing to, his unfounded allegations about the unsubstantiated effect of his undefined increases in the tax giveaways to the rich could be considered in an analytical manner)

GOP presidential hopeful Fred Thompson’s embrace of the House Republican Study Committee’s plan for a two-rate tax choice of 10 percent and 25 percent would really fit the bill (as far as the elite are concerned). For joint filers, that would be a 10 percent tax rate up to $100,000 and 25 percent above that. Not only is that considerable reductions to the unsustainable tax giveaways scheduled to expire soon good tax reform and simplification, it would really help middle-income tax payers (and really really help upper-income tax payers) and it would reduce their combined Social Security and income-tax burden (while further starving the government of revenue and gutting Social Security. Ladies and gentlemen , I give you the Republican’t twofer!).

Given the economic and credit-market concerns sweeping down Wall Street and Main Street these days, it’s time to talk tax cuts. (Given that the sun rose in the east this morning, a Republican’t thinks i’s time to talk tax cuts) But the right kind of tax-rate reduction must be part of the new-tax-cut riff. (Considering the spectacular success of the current Republican’t tax scheme, do you really think anyone should consider anything they have to say on the subject?)

* - yes, that Lawrence Summers

Duck, Duck, Rudy

The Blotter:

A Pennsylvania man convicted in a notorious corruption case played host to former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani at a fundraiser last night, despite the Giuliani campaign’s public efforts to distance itself from the man.

Bob Asher, a major Pennsylvania Republican player as a national party committeeman, was one of four hosts for the $2,300-a-person event. Asher was convicted in 1986 on charges stemming from a bribery scheme intended to win a $300,000 state government contract. The case gained national attention when his co-defendant in the case, Pennsylvania state treasurer R. Budd Dwyer, committed suicide at a televised news conference. Asher was sentenced to serve one year in prison.

At that time, Giuliani was a federal prosecutor in New York, building a reputation by locking up criminals for similar corruption-related misdeeds.

Giuliani came and went from last night’s fundraiser without comment, ducking down in his car as ABC News cameras attempted to photograph him arriving.

Yeah, that’s the type of president this country needs. A sneak. As if his association with a mob connection and an accused pedophile priest wasn’t enough.

No wonder his kids don’t want to be seen in public with him.

Some news is just great news: this comes from Kansas

John Amato conveys the story of corrupt anti-women prosecutor Phil Kline, as he’s about ready to go down.

Kudos to the serious investigative journalists from KCTV 5 for their efforts at exposing him as a lazy fraud. See what quality reporting can achieve? Yes MSM, I’m looking at you.

Epiphany? No, not here

Josh Marshall highlights the trends in 3 of the first 4 GOP primaries and foresees a Romney win, while granting Huckabee a shot. I may be the least surprised guy in the country on that. He left out Nevada, where Rudy still looks strong. And at pollster.com, there’s also polls for another four big states, where Rudy’s well positioned in 3 of the 4.

I rebelled against the tea leaf reading of an overly long and exceedingly boring campaign season, last winter. I knew then that from mid-october on was the time to start poll watching, because trends show up. and campaigns start firing the best shots they have. So now I’ll add a little more advice: read the polls 10 days from now and see what they show then. If any trends will change or downward trends reverse, it has to show up by then. (Are you listening, John Edwards?)

Yeah, I also mined all the states polls there to see the Democratic trends. And Hillary, like Romney, is best poised to win virtually everywhere, except in Iowa. Both Barack and Edwards have to try and beat her there. If Edwards doesn’t, his campaign is likely to go nowhere. Obama could hang on with a second place finish, but a lot will depend on who drops out when, and where those voters end up. yet only Edwards and Richardson command enough support to influence anything by dropping out.

On the Republican side, were McCain or Thompson to drop out early, their voters could give Huckabee enough momentum to make him the best challenge for Romney. I’m not sure where Ron Paul voters would go, but I’d have to guess they’d split between the others, with most going to Rudy.

So in summary:

Romney: the favorite
Huckabee: closing fast
Giuliani: other than Nevada, New York and Florida, he’s not trending well enough to do better than #2 overall.

Clinton: the favorite
Obama: not closing fast enough in most states, but Iowa could make him viable
Edwards: he’s gotta pull out all stops in the next ten days and outperform in Iowa, or he’ll stay in third place.

But let’s look at this pragmatically and historically. Has a big city mayor ever won a major party nomination? How about a Congressional rep, if up against Senators and Governors? Senators and Governors have proven that they can, at least, win a statewide race. So right from the outset, that’s a strike against Kucinich, Giuliani, Tancredo, Hunter, and Paul. Edwards has a smaller handicap by being out of office but he has won a statewide race and won some primaries in 2004.

Historically, Richardson should be doing better, but he’s probably being hurt on the issue of electability, simply because immigration has been pushed by the GOP. I just hope he’s back in 4 or 8 years when the xenophobia’s died down.

Way back in February, a certain Gallup poll is one I highlighted, though it wasn’t directly about the candidates. I unwisely ignored what it suggested about Mccain. I wasn’t aware Huckabee would join in. But otherwise, that poll has proven to be prescient. Read what it, and I, said on February 21st.

Pretty close, wasn’t I?

I’ll only add a little more to that, based on the past 5 campaigns. The states where Kerry didn’t do well enough include Ohio, New Mexico and Iowa. He almost pulled an upset in Colorado and made Nevada close. He should have tried harder for West Virginia and Missouri. If Hillary is the nominee, she has the potential to win in all of those states. Obama could pull them all, too, but West Virginia and Nevada probably wouldn’t be easy. However Obama and Clinton are likely to be shut out in most of the South, outside of Missouri and Florida. They’d have a shot at Arkansas and might pull an upset in Virginia. But if Huckabee’s on the GOP ticket, the GOP’s likely to carry the whole region with only Missouri and Florida in play for the Dems.

That changes a lot, if Edwards is the nominee. In addition to being competitive in Missouri, Florida and Arkansas, he could make North Carolina competitive, and would have a shot at Tennessee, Virginia and South Carolina. Overall, Edwards and Clinton remain more ‘electable’, though at this point, Edwards is the longshot to even get to the general election.

So what this means is that if Huckabee’s the GOP nominee, he’ll likely pick a VP from the Rust Belt, especially Pennsylvania, Ohio, Minnesota or Wisconsin. If Romney’s the GOP nominee, he’ll also be looking at those states, plus Missouri for a VP. Both might also consider a Floridian. If Rudy somehow pulls through, nobody he pairs with can win it for him.

And if Hillary or Obama is the Democratic nominee, Ohio, Missouri, Wisconsin, Michigan, Florida, Arizona and Iowa are the best places to pick up a VP. If Edwards upsets them, he’d do best sticking more to the Rust Belt of Ohio, Missouri, Wisconsin, and Michigan.

And before you start speculating, it’ll either have to be a governor or a member of Congress that would assuredly be replaced by another Democrat. They wouldn’t want to weaken the Democratic majority in either house of Congress, so you can rule out people like Bob Casey, Sherrod Brown, Bill Nelson, Evan Bayh, Debbie Stabenow, Carl Levin, Amy Klobuchar, Claire McCaskill, Herb Kohl or Russ Feingold - unless they’d be succeeded by an appointee of a Democratic governor.

To me that means that Vilsack is still Hillary’s first choice. Governors like Ted Strickland of Ohio, Jim Doyle of Wisconsin, Tim Kaine of Virginia would be in that top tier. Conceivably, Governors like Phil Bredesen of Tennessee, Ed Rendell of Pennsylvania, and Bill Ritter of Colorado could be chosen, too. What would be really cool if Hillary’s the nominee would be for her to stand conventional wisdom on its head and choose Janet Napolitano of Arizona, in an all-out push to demonstrate the strength of women voters.

That group of governors, plus Vilsack, remain the likely group that any Dem will choose from. And for the GOP, the way they’ve gone after Minnesota in recent years suggests Governor Tim Pawlenty would be their first choice, with Matt Blunt, and Mitch Daniels the only other governors. But they could also choose Senators like McCain, Wayne Allard, Chuck Grassley, George Voinovich, or Arlen Specter.

Now I can ignore the polls till December 10 and let others carry that weight all over again till then. In the last 9 months though, only McCain and Huckabee have changed my outlook so far, and there’s not much likelihood of any more surprises between now and Iowa unless Edwards gets his rebound, which would only be a small surprise.

Iraq: less bad

Via Taegan Goddard:

“These things don’t go from bad to good. They go from bad to less bad.”

– Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman (R), quoted by the Deseret Morning News, evaluating the situation in Iraq after a Thanksgiving visit.

That would be the Republican Governor of the state that gave Bush 72% of the vote in 2004, the most Republican state in the country.

Things are less bad in Iraq. How much major media will report that, instead of ‘the surge is working’? (which I indicated in an earlier post today has no basis in fact)


Dennis Hastert has made his departure from Congress official
by resigning his seat as of 10:59 p. m., just in time for his
11:00 o’clock feeding.

Democrats Should Refuse al-Maliki’s Request for a Permanent US Troop Presence

I’m disappointed that Democratic presidential candidates didn’t immediately denounce Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki’s request yesterday for a permanent US security force in Iraq. It’s not rocket science to figure out why the request deserves no consideration whatsoever at the present time.

The current Iraqi government will be two years old next month, so the current Parliament is halfway through its four year terms. Since the 12/15/2005 vote that elected that government, 1,721 US troops have died in Iraq.

And what’s the Iraqi government accomplished in that time? Pretty much nothing. It’s dominated by the United Iraqi Alliance (41.2% of the government) which is mostly Shia. The next three largest groups are dominated by Kurds (21.7%), Sunnis (15.1%) and secularists (8%). The largest Sunni group left the government on August 1, frustrated by the refusal of the Shias to work out a conciliation between the two sects. (See Juan Cole for the latest on this). The Kurds have been busy signing oil agreements with foreign companies, though the Shias call those contracts illegal.

That Shia bloc, the United Iraqi Alliance, has failed to please any of the other blocs, the US military or our government.

While 1,721 US troops have died, the bloc of al-Maliki and Ahmed Chalabi has twiddled its thumbs. Even within that Shia bloc, the Islamic Virtue Party withdrew from it last March, taking 15 seats with it. The largest subgroup within that United Iraqi Alliance is SCIRI, which is closely allied with Iran.

While 1,721 US troops have died, Sunnis have, only in recent months, helped clean out most of the foreign fighters that Bush continues to call Al Qaeda. And that Shia bloc doesn’t want those Sunni fighters incorporated into Iraq’s army and security forces still.

Leading Democrats should go on record as opposing al-Maliki’s request, with a caveat. Our troops have carried the burden of the struggle for a secure and stable Iraq. Our Treasury and taxpayers have carried the burden of that financial cost. What has the Shia dominated government contributed? Virtually nothing. And now they want to hire our troops to provide them security permanently? ‘Hire’ isn’t even the right word, as we’ll be paying for it and our soldiers will be dying, to protect the do-nothings whose refusal to compromise is the chief reason sectarian violence continues.

That sounds like a pretty rotten trade-off. Will some Democrat stand up and say they won’t honor any such deal unless and until the United Iraqi Alliance demonstrates some capability for compromise with its political opponents? Some Democrat should. Vehemently.

1,721 US troops have died and hundreds of thousands have fought and it’s about time someone stands up and says our troops and taxpayers can no longer accept the burden of the al-Maliki government failures. And if it continues to fail, the only answer that honors those who’ve borne the burdens and sacrifices is ‘No.’

Why is there hesitation about this?

It’s likely some are hesitant because violence has been down for three months, and the media is accepting the spin that this represents success caused by Bush’s troop escalation/surge. A look at the troop fatality numbers points to another likely cause for the reduction in violence.

Month/Fatalities/Events

Nov-06 70 - Rumsfeld fired
Dec-06 112 - Bush rejects Iraq Study group recommendations, orders escalation of troop count
Jan-07 83 - Infusion of larger force (surge) begins
Feb-07 81
Mar-07 81
Apr-07 104
May-07 126
Jun-07 101 - Deadliest 3 months completed since the war began in March 2003
Jul-07 78
Aug-07 84 - Iraqi Accord Front, the largest Sunni bloc (15.1%), departs the Iraq government on 8/1.
Sep-07 65 - Three days before, on 8/29, Moqtada al Sadr orders his Shiite forces to stand down for 6 months
Oct-07 38
Nov-07 32 - nearing end of lowest 3 month death total since Jan-Mar 2004

Moqtada al-Sadr’s forces were the largest in the fray, but they were becoming splintered. The rogue militias within were taking actions that caused his group to lose popular support in some areas of Iraq. His ceasefire not only caused the majority of his followers to stand down but it forced the rogue subgroups to conform or they’d be quickly decimated by US and Sunni forces.

It was Moqtada’s orders that produced the reduced casualties. And during that reduction, his chief rival in the Shia bloc - al-Hakim’s SCIRI - has continued its ethnic cleansing via the corrupt Interior Ministry. Which the government has failed to rein in.

And let’s look at what lies ahead.

With the pending Annapolis conference, the Bush administration is claiming it a big step forward to resolving the half-century Israel-Palestine conflict. But the most visible short term achievement at Annapolis will actually be the marginalization of Iran. That’s not exactly new as the Sunni dominated Arab nations have long disliked Iran, both because it’s Persian and Shia. Annapolis, however, peels away Iraq and Syria from a Shia alliance. That’s especially notable because Syria has long been Iran’s ally.

Going through the UN to isolate Iran, the Bush administration faced vetoes from Security Council members Russia and China. Annapolis provides an end-around, with Iran isolated from most of its neighbors, and sanctions from the Annapolis group will hurt Iran, no matter what Russia and China do.

Now let’s put all that in context with other events foreign and domestic.

1) Oil prices have approached the inflation adjusted all-time high a couple of times. Typical stock market patterns suggest a new high will be set after one or two more approaches. I’ve previously indicated the breakthrough could come as early as the 12/11 Fed meeting. And the ultimate new high should come no later than February. Exponential growth charts already show us into the near vertical phase which means a final spike and collapse is pending. (I projected a peak between $119-$122 per barrel).

2) Claiming success from the purge and from Annapolis, the Bush administration will claim some foreign policy success while trying to minimize withdrawal proposals as a primary issue into February, when there’s a good chance both emergent major party nominees will be known.

3) Many market watchers have predicted the fallout and bottom of the subprime mortgage crisis will arrive in February, too.

4) The principal foreign policy focus from December to February will likely be Iran now. That will continue to keep oil prices supported by market speculators.

5) However, Bush can’t contain and balance (or counterbalance) all these factors indefinitely. Remember Moqtada al-Sadr’s ceasefire ends by March 1, so Iraq could explode with fresh violence after that. The only way that can be prevented is if Bush and al-Malik’s government start achieving compromises with al-Sadr and between the Shia-Sunni sects.

Certainly there’s a fair amount of speculation in my assessments, particularly about market timing. But the least speculative is Moqtada’s contribution to the reduction in violence, and the fact that his ceasefire ends o the last day of February.

It’s a pretty reasonable guess that Bush will be pushing al-Maliki’s government towards some compromises; otherwise, he’ll have trouble hawking an agreement to offer al-Maliki a permanent US troop presence.

In conclusion, why should any Democrat hesitate to oppose the agreement now, coupled with the demand that Iraq’s government do something constructive to earn continued support? Politically, that would usurp the Bush agenda. It would also satisfy the public demand that it’s time to withdraw. After all, the proposals for short term funding of the war will be resuming in January. Bush can only make a case to the public if he can parrot ’surge success’ and ‘Annapolis success’ and ‘OMG Iran!’ and convince the public to pressure Congress to loosen the purse strings.

The best way to counter those claims is for Democrats to demand progress from the Iraq government, to remind the public how Moqtada al-Sadr’s ceasefire did more to spare troop lives than anything else, and to insist our troops and taxpayers have done all we can while Iraq’s leaders have failed.

We don’t have to cede funding without gaining a withdrawal commitment. And if al-Maliki’s government actually does something, Dems can then claim credit for applying the necessary pressure, both by public statements and by holding the purse strings tight.

Looking at the big picture, I can only wonder if any Democrats plan to make the case NOW, or will they avoid the minimal political risks, let Bush build his framework and call all the shots, and wonder next March (or next November) how Bush outplayed them once again.

I can think of at least 1,721 reasons a Democrat should stand up and say we’ve gone above and beyond the call of duty and it’s time for Iraq’s government to do its part for a change.