In Virginia, the widest percentage predicted by pollsters was 20%. With 99% of the votes counted, he’s winning by 29%, only partly driven by crossover voting in that open primary.

In Maryland, it’s way too early to determine the margin. Due to bad weather, a judge permitted many precincts to stay open an extra couple of hours, so counting has only reached 27%. But he’s already the projected winner and the early margin is 25% so far. In the only recent poll there, he was given a 19% margin so we’ll see how that compares as the numbers come in.

With 98% counted in DC, he’s 51% ahead. The only poll there, that just came in today, had him winning it by 36%, so he blew by that by 15%!

And just his totals in DC and VA put him in the overall lead in delegates and superdelegates combined, before MD even gets added up.

The Clinton campaign has been downplaying the results in Feb since Super Tuesday as ‘expected losses’. And largely, my analysis based on solid predictive factors largely supports that contention. What they choose not to mention are several surprise Obama wins. ME, CT and MN were upsets, and NM was an unexpectedly razor-thin victory for Clinton. CO, DE and MO also were potentially winnable states for Clinton, yet in nearly every instance, Obama has won the close ones.

It’s not just the eight straight victories by Obama since Super Tuesday that have to be discouraging for Clinton. It’s also the wide margins. And it’s also the 12 states he won on Super Tuesday, to Clinton’s 9. Thus, in just 8 days, he’s won 19 states and the Virgin Islands to 9 for Clinton. And in another week, he’s likely going to win 2 more (HI and WI).

Overall, that will mean he’ll have won 23 states, DC and several US territories. Against 13 won by Clinton, two of them the uncontested FL and MI. Were it not for her wins in her two home states of NY and AR, plus CA and FL, and her roundup of superdelegates before the first primary, the race would have ended before March’s arrival.

And come March 4th, she has to win and win big. I’ll be adding a deeper analysis after many big events and reports that came out today. For now, let it suffice to say that, while it seems the avalanche of Obamomentum is now impossible to stop, it will likely be two weeks before any certain judgment can be made.

Be sure to return for my analysis, as it just may shake up a lot of what’s called ‘conventional wisdom.’ For starters, if he adds WI and HI next week, his 10 straight wins involve 67 more pledged delegates that got doled out to both candidates than the four states voting on March 4th will offer to them. And looking at 6 pages of MD exit polling, counting age, race, gender, ideology, religion, locale, income, education and more - over 100 categories - Clinton only bested Obama in a dozen of them.

Whites 45 and older, meaning babyboomers. White Catholics, White Jews and White Protestants. Voters who rated ‘experience’ highly. And Latina women. In fact, without the babyboomer white women and the similarly aged Latina women, Hillary would have had virtually no strength at all in MD. Not only did Obama virtually tie her among white women older than the boomers (65+), but he ate into the normally wider margins among the boomers. In simplest terms, he gained some everywhere, in every demographic. And he did even better in Virginia.

8:50 Update: With 50% counted in MD, Obama’s maintained his lead of 25%.

12:10 am Update: With 85% counted in MD, Obama’s lead is 23%, still 4 pts above what the poll predicted.