From Rasmussen Reports:

Obama leads nationally in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll and can wrap up the nomination with victories in the key states of Ohio and Texas. Clinton needs to win those states to keep her campaign alive. Yesterday, Rasmussen Reports released polling data showing Clinton with a double-digit lead in Ohio and the latest Rasmussen Reports polling in Texas also shows the former First Lady on top in the Lone Star State. Clinton attracts 54% of the vote in Texas while Obama earns 38% with nearly three weeks to go until Election Day.

If Clinton is able to win in both Texas and Ohio, the race for delegates will be just about even and there will be new talking points for the Superdelegates to consider before reaching a decision.

However, just 68% of Likely Democratic Primary Voters in Texas say they have made up their mind and are certain about their vote. Ten percent (10%) remain undecided, 5% say there’s a good chance they could change their mind, and 16% say they might change their mind.

Overall, 78% have a favorable opinion of Clinton and 67% say the same about Obama. Among voters who are currently undecided, 59% have a favorable opinion of Clinton and 48% offer a positive assessment of Obama.

Eighty-two percent (82%) believe Clinton would be at least somewhat likely to win the White House if nominated. Seventy-one percent (71%) believe Obama would have a chance to win in November. Among those who are undecided, 53% believe Clinton would have a chance to defeat the Republicans and 50% say the same about Obama.

Clinton currently leads among both White and Latino voters. Obama leads among African-American voters.

Thirty-eight percent (38%) of all Democratic Primary voters view the economy as the top voting issue of Election 2008. Nineteen percent (19%) say it’s the War in Iraq while 17% view Health Care as the top priority. In many states, Obama has the advantage over Clinton among voters focused on the War in Iraq. That is not the case in Texas. In fact, regardless of which issue voters consider most important, Clinton has the advantage at the moment.

The report indicates, however, that in three swing states measured that typically vote Republican - CO, NV and NH - Obama would beat McCain handily and Clinton wouldn’t. Clinton leads Obama in their polls in Ohio 51-37.

Another poll today gave the Texas edge to Clinton 49 - 41 with 8% Undecided and a margin of error of plus/minus 4.9%. Even at that, a calculation done by a Houston Chronicle reporter indicates Obama could win more delegates than Clinton, just because of the way the rules work.

So Clinton may be ahead in Texas by 8 to 16 points and our only Ohio measure gives her a 14 point lead. Polls in Wisconsin for next Tuesday’s primary give Obama a 2% to 4% edge, and Hawaii remains unknown. Should he lose either of the latter two, it will likely make it harder to close the gap in Texas and Ohio. If we wins, I’d predict closer races in the two big states.

Hillary’s already done some campaigning in Texas and when Obama arrives, he’ll have two weeks to seek a closer outcome. But he’d be wise not to get over-eager for the big ones and keep his focus on every state, in turn.