Obama wins Wyoming with a 19% margin
He’s now won 4 of the 6 states in the Mountain time zone. Clinton has won one.
In the Central time zone, he’s won 10 to Clinton’s 4, and on Tuesday, is favored to win his 11th in Mississippi.
In the Eastern time zone, he’s won 8 to Clinton’s 8, but has also carried DC, and the Virgin Islands. And two of hers are the currently disqualified FL and MI primaries.
And in the Pacific time zone plus the two non-attached states, they are tied with 3 states each. She’s also won American Samoa while he won Americans Abroad.
When he wins Mississippi, that will be his 26th state, to her current 16. Of the 8 that follow Mississippi, he’s favored to win 3, she’s favored in 2 and the other three are unknown.
Currently, Obama leads by at least 157=1/2 pledged delegates. Clinton has 40 more superdelegates. Combined, Obama leads by 117-1/2 total delegates. If Fl and MI delegates were counted (and all the uncommitted in MI were awarded to Obama), Clinton would gain 111 delegates and 10 superdelegates more than Obama.
That way, Obama would still lead by 46-1/2 pledged delegates, while Clinton would lead by 3-1/2 total delegates. (That may be more or less, depending on who’s counting and a few outstanding delegates yet to be awarded. And of course, with any sort of re-vote, it’s likely Obama could pick up a few more.
Ultimately, it could be Oregon, Puerto Rico and the two disqualified states that will determine the nominee, but the odds remain weighted towards Obama overall. And don’t forget that John Edwards still has 26 delegates he might be able to wield to swing the final result.
On to Mississippi for Obama’s next blowout win.
