The Math wins
Where did AP come up with its winner projections?
Two from Massachusetts.
Five from Michigan.
Five from Montana.
Three from South Carolina and one from New York.
That’s 16. Obama’s going to pick up a minimum of another 15 pledged delegates when the polls in Montana and South Dakota tonight, which brings him to 31, just 6 votes shy of the winning number.
From the NY Times blog, The Caucus, we glean a few more: Jimmy Carter, one from Missouri, one from Ohio, and one from Maine.
So my known tally yields a count just two away from a win. Obama could get those extra two from today’s primaries or from supers who’ve yet to go public.
I predict there’ll be another dozen more who’ll announce by tonight and Obama will be the nominee designate by a comfortable margin well before midnight Eastern time.
One thing I’ll admit about this blogging bidness is you tend to think “this really isn’t unexpected news” but you feel compelled to state the obvious anyway. It’s an odd way to report when you’d rather get into meaty stuff that will open some eyes wide. And there is that, too, big news, which I’ll get to you in a few minutes.
Update: From over at The Field, commenter Bull Schmitt has picked up more than my net-scouring has located:
John Perez (CA) for Obama, and Carnelia Fondren (MS) for Obama. Then Tina Abbott (MI) for Obama and commentor TR-CT adds State Rep. Sharon Nordgren of New Hampshire for Obama.
I presume all those I’ve mentioned now give the AP story its foundation, as I think Obama’s already 2 to 3 delegates above the magic number.
