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June 8, 2008

The 50 state campaign? Not yet, but a lot more than before.

It doesn’t look like there’ll be a lull this year.

17 months completed and 5 to go, Obama’s signaling no let-up.

As I pointed out here, the hardest fights will be those near the 50-50 polling line, PA, OH, NJ, VA, WI, CO, NM, and NH plus the next group on both sides: FL, MI, MO, MN, IA, CT, NV, WV, ME, MT, AK, and ND. In addition to those 20, GA, NC, IN, SD, and OR are going to be in play in the early going, so that’s 25 potential swing states, and maybe a 26th, WA. Eleven of those have been historically Republican and another pair haven’t been friendly to Dems in the past two campaigns. Obama needs 124 electoral votes from this 26-state pool that holds 261, and he’s within 3 pointsts of capturing a total of 312 of them.

I hope McSame can keep up.

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